Thursday, October 31, 2013

2013 ZiPS Projections for PBC........Good Fortune Telling or Hocus Pocus?








 Hunter's wish is my command.....In the comments to JAL's Morning Links Lee posted the following ZIP predictions for the PBC for 2013.  As requested by our fearless leader, this post looks at the predictions next to the actual numbers.  I added the OPS for both.


                            Projection                                         Actual

Marte           .264/.310/.428 .738                        .280/.343/.441 .784
                          
Pedro           .236/.313/.451 .764                        .233/.296/.473 .770

Gaby            .254/.324/.405 .729                        .254/.361/.402 .762

G Jones        .253/.309/.446 .755                         .233/.289/.419 .708

Inge             .225/.289/.368 .675                          .181/.204/.238/.441
                    
Jordy           .236/.286/.361 .647                          .285/.336/.435 .772

Tabata         .243/.294/.375 .659                          .282/.342/.429/ .771

Travis          .253/.310/.403 .713                          .215/.281/.333 .624

Walker         .270/.328/.430 .758                          .251/.339/.418 .757

AMac          .283/.369/.480 .849                           .317/.404/.508 .911

Martin         .238/.328/.373 .701                           .226/.327/.377 .703

Barmes        .237/.289/.353 .642                           .211/.249/.309 .558

Looking at OPS Marte, Gaby, Jordy, Tabata, and Cutch all performed better than predicted.  Pedro, Walker and Martin performed about as predicted. Jones, Inge, Travis and Barmes all performed below what was predicted.