St. Louis vs Boston
Fenway park-oldest park in MLB
Broadcast 7:30 First pitch 8:07
Boston leads series 3-2
Cards starter Michael Wacha-4-0 with an ERA of 1 in the post season
Red Sox starter John Lackey 2-1 with a 3.26 ERA in the postseason
Bloomberg stats did a breakdown of Game 5 winners.
Lineups:
Cardinals
2B Matt Carpenter
RF Carlos Beltran
LF Matt Holliday
DH Allen Craig
C Yadier Molina
1B Matt Adams
3B David Freese
CF Jon Jay
SS Daniel Descalso
SP Michael Wacha
Red Sox
CF Jacoby Ellsbury
2B Dustin Pedroia
DH David Ortiz
1B Mike Napoli
LF Jonny Gomes
RF Shane Victorino
3B Xander Bogaerts
SS Stephen Drew
C David Ross
SP John Lackey
The World Series winner has won game five 31 times and lost game five 27 times. So winning game 5 only gives you a bit more than 50% chance of winning the series. The game six winner has taken the series 43 times and lost it 15 times. Of course some game six wins end the series. The odds of winning any specific game are always around 50%.
The advantage the Red Sox have is they only have to win one of two games and they have a 78.1 probability of doing that.
A couple of questions tonight are can Michael Wacha continue to pitch like Bob Gibson circa 1968 and can David Ortiz continue to be a hitting machine. Even 1968 Gibson gave up 6 runs in one game and 5 in another. Ortiz is just in one of those hot streaks that can continue 2 more games or end tonight.
Might be last meaningful game until April. Enjoy the show.